The Future Of Premium CPMs

Posted: April 6th, 2009 | Author: | Filed under: Media And Advertising | Tags: , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

target-storeBen Kunz wrote an interesting article for Business Week that was published online today. The main point of the article (in my view) is that publishers accustomed to charging high CPMs on ads (sometimes over $60), are in for a rude awakening, because advertisers and ad networks can use retargeting to find the same users for a tiny fraction of the price. I disagree with Ben, but I don’t want to speak for him, so if you’re going to read this post, please read his article first.

My own experience as a media buyer and a former employee of the mother of all premium online publishing companies, CondeNet, leads me to see things a lot differently.

To be sure, there is a massive disparity between the cost of buying an ad on a site like, say, The New York Times, and buying an ad on a large network. And yes, you may hit the same users… in fact, through the magic of retargeting technology, you can sometimes be *sure* of hitting the same users (or at least, users surfing the web with the same computer and browser).

However, that’s not the whole story. It’s important to consider the following:

Branding. It’s not all about getting as many clicks as possible, at least not for all advertisers. When the publisher has credibility with the targeted demographic, then the advertiser sometimes buys media just to get across to the demographic the idea that there is a connection between the two. For example, a new stylish and expensive brand of designer women’s clothing, at the level to rival Bergdorf Goodman and Yves St. Laurent, is going to run ads on Style.com as part of their launch strategy. They’d be crazy not to, even if they already know that they can reach most of the same users on Page Six for less money. The goal isn’t always economy of scale; sometimes it’s simply brand positioning.

Placement. Not all sites are created equal. In fact, most of them are created rather poorly, especially insofar as ad placement is concerned. Do you want your ad to appear far from the content, or alongside another ad of the exact same size? It it okay with you if the site is set up to refresh the ads every thirty seconds? It’s very comforting, for both the media planner and the client, to find the ads on each site on which they are supposed to appear, in real time, and to verify that it seems realistic for the targeted users to find them. Sometimes, that level of comfort can be worth quite a bit of money.

Hands-on analytics. When you run ads on a network, you are usually not allowed access to the raw data that shows performance on a per-site basis. After all, if you find out which sites are giving you the best performance, you may attempt to circumvent the network and go directly to those sites. Instead, you get analytics based on site type, e.g. “here’s how your ad did on the men’s sites.” If you don’t have the resources, or the interest, to dig further, then results like that may work for you. But I’ve found that there’s a lot of value in knowing exactly which individual sites respond to a certain ad. Sometimes, unexpected revelations come about. Just as Ben notes that ads targeted at women are sometimes found (via network technology) to be more effective on men, I’ll note that there is no limit to the degree that you can slide and dice the data – if you have it – and still keep finding valuable info that will impress your client and save you both money on the next campaign. Will your ads do equally well on GQ and Esquire? Nerve and The Onion? Epicurious and Food Network? Are you sure? Some of my most exciting revelations and greatest successes as a media planner came from poring over the differences between two ostensibly similar sites that had yielded vastly different results for the same campaign.

Customized publisher targeting. The New York Times website offers a type of targeting called a “surround session.” For a certain period of time, all users who enter the site through certain sections (e.g. the Technology section) are exposed to the same ads, over and over, no matter where they go on the site, five pages deep. In my experience, the click-through rate, as well as the conversion rate, was astronomical compared to almost any other site, every time I bought it. Of course, you have to know which products, and which ads promoting those products, are appropriate for that context.

Customized publisher promotions. Many publishers will work with advertisers to either create customized content, or to give the ad special positioning, or even to collaborate in the creation of the ad, so that it resonates with their readers. When it works, it creates an experience that the user remembers for a long time to come. I still remember the excellent Showtime ad I saw on Nerve a couple of years ago, advertising The Tudors. The ad was a fake personals ad, as if created by Henry The Eighth. It was rendered in the style of ads on Nerve Personals, with just the right note of cynicism and whimsy to appeal to the site’s demographic. I watched the first season of the show because of it.

Advertising on large ad networks is certainly much cheaper than advertising on premium sites. And there’s a reason. Not every situation calls for premium ad space, custom content, publisher collaboration, and improving the way your brand is perceived by your target audience. But some do. And the recession doesn’t mean that advertising has to get cheaper; it means that advertising has to get better.

image by simondoggett


  • http://www.thoughtgadgets.com Ben Kunz

    Extremely strong response. Well done.

    You raise valid points; there are times when big-brand (high CPM) sites make sense. There is obvious value in contextual ad placement, or site packages, for certain advertisers. The overarching trend, though, is for marketers to gain more direct access to consumers online. The web publishers who in the past once controlled access to the audiences are losing control. Technology is irrevocably making insights into online customers available.

    As the supply of “targetable” customers increases to meet a constant demand, prices of online inventory must fall.

    The pressure on marquee sites is clear; the most obvious indication is how most big sites hide their web pricing in their media kits, while listing published rates for the print side of the house. Hmm. Why do media planners need to “call a sales rep for a quote” for banner rates? Because all online prices are in flux. We recently did a buy for a major news site (I won't name names to protect the innocent) that started with more than a $64 CPM. When the site found out we were using $3 and $4 ad nets, and probably would push more funds there, it suddenly came back with a second price proposal of $16 CPM — for the same audience buy.

    Big sites are losing the keys to their reader kingdoms.

    In the tactical space, you are right — by all means, sites still control many sweet groups of readers, and there are lots of packages that may make sense for certain brands. In the long term, I think continued pressure will force down online ad rates. The targeting capabilities are there, and it will remove inefficiencies — called “margins” — from the online marketplace.

    Thanks again for a challenging and thoughtful response.

  • http://mediamandible.com/ miconian

    Thanks for your thoughtful response, Ben. I think that the crux of our disagreement might be in this statement of yours:

    “As the supply of “targetable” customers increases to meet a constant demand, prices of online inventory must fall.”

    Like much of your article, this statement is true as far as it goes, but it addresses a larger situation that just isn't as simple as it seems. What's being provided on the supply side of the equation here is not “targetable customers,” but rather the functionality to target those customers. The ad networks will tell you that this capacity is a mass-produced commodity, and the premium publishers will tell you that it is a rare skill that you must pay dearly to benefit from. They are both right, because the truth is that between those two poles, there is a mess of differences in the type of targeting, customer, and product that is right for every situation.

    As for the fluctuation of prices, I've seen it happening from the publisher side many times. It doesn't mean that the value of the inventory is changing, it means that the short-term gain is being sacrificed to accommodate an important customer, and pave the way for a relationship that is going to pay off later. When I was buying media for Amazon, I was able to get some ridiculously low CPMs on some very high-end sites. But it wasn't because the sites were overpriced, it was because the publishers wanted to add Amazon to their client list.

    As far as margins, well, the difference between a $60 CPM on a truly good site, and a $0.50 CPM on a network, is not necessarily all profit for the publisher. They might just be using most of that money to actually pay the writers, coders, quality assurance people, information architects, and designers that make the site great to begin with.